The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts . The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . 10 Wednesday AM Reads. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. RSS Loading. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. 01:06 PM. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Nate Silver's. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Feb. 25, 2021. info. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. 04:58 PM. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. The State Of The Polls, 2016. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. police- settlements. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. 9 days ago. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. Happy holidays! New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Rev. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Instagram did not return a 200. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The data behind that evolution is striking. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. What does it take to make democracy work? The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. 266, the . Today those numbers have flipped. You can't imitate a worldview. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. File Upload. robert kraft granddaughter. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. It's a busy week! apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. A message from Martine. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Transcripts by Erin Wade. They determine whether we live in a free or repres During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. [00:00:19] Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." MANAGER'S SALARY. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. NEW TOWN .