Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. What are red and blue states? The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Manage Settings Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Republican Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. because red and blue state designations . Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? The key swing region is the. These are general election results for the years listed. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Idaho. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. And West Virginia is losing. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. Electoral votes invalidated. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Anita What do you want to know? This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. It is not a red state. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. The. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. So how does all that look visually? As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. It is not a blue state or a red state. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. It feels like the new Florida. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. But registration figures vary greatly by county. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. There was an error processing your request. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Red states vs. blue states. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Gov. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. . This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. We may not know results in PA fordays. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. 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If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue.
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